BIG MARLEY’S UFC 227 BETTING PREVIEW

There is a good deal of cash to be won this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k from the main tournament. DK also has a lot of Qualifier competitions available this week, where the final event will pay $50k into 1st if you did qualify to perform in it. I will be pursuing those as well since we’ve never had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I really do think we have a enjoyable card that Saturday and that I am ready to go into this 3-week break using a winning night at UFC 227. Here are a couple plays I like this weekend along with my fade of this week.
Cash Game play of the week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the most powerful play in most DFS MMA and he has the highest ceiling as well. DJ is your P4P best fight on earth (not counting Jon Jones) and he has beat Cejudo once before. This is the very first person I am plugging in my money LU this week and I advise you to do exactly the same. DJ is almost guaranteed to score at least 100-points at a win, and he’s got a -550 gambling line stating he should get the win here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. It’s possible to stack this battle also, however I think DJ is essential.
GPP drama of this week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a good struggle to target this week because it probably won’t visit a decision. Holland just fought on the Contender Series that a few weeks back and didn’t get a contract. But now he’s on the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers in the branch. The ITD lineup for Santos is currently -210 and the below 1.5 rounds betting line is -160. This tells me Vegas believes this fight ends ancient and Santos is the man that should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he easily pays that cost off at a 1st round win and I presume he’s a solid shot at doing just that. I don’t care for him in money game formats however because both men have quite low floors, so this is a GPP just play for me personally.
Underdog drama of this week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I think everyone is composing Brett Johns after his loss to Aljo Sterling and that’s exactly why he’s so economical on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he’s 100+ upside even in a decision win. Obviously, we are concerned about him getting caught in a guillotine if he shoots takedowns, but if he can avoid that I believe he can win this battle and 10x his salary with a win. I don’t think Johns will want to strike with Munhoz for 15-minutes so that I really do believe he is going to be shooting takedowns. Those takedowns can get him filed, or else they may get him a win on the scorecards. However, this makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he is a solid underdog to pick in GPPs this past week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a end to cover that price tag off with her style. She has the worst fashion potential for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she’s a win here she could end up scoring significantly less than several losers on the card. Taylor will be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so if you would like to invest your money on a 115 pound woman using a“punchers chance“ of winning you a GPP, then you will be quite contrarian taking that route. However, I have no interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I had been making 150 lineups, I’d still full vanish Taylor here.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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