BIG MARLEY’S UFC 227 BETTING PREVIEW

There is a lot of cash to be won this week on DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the main tournament. DK also has a lot of Qualifier competitions available this week, where the final event will pay $50k to 1st if you did qualify to perform inside. I will be chasing those as well since we have not ever had a $50k 1st place prize and I need it. I really do think we have a enjoyable card that Saturday and that I am ready to go into this 3-week break using a winning night in UFC 227. Here are a few plays I like this weekend together with my fade of this week.
Cash Game play of the week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the most powerful play in most DFS MMA and he has the highest ceiling as well. DJ is your P4P best fight in the world (not counting Jon Jones) and he has beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I am plugging in my money LU this week and I advise you to do exactly the same. DJ is practically guaranteed to score at least 100-points at a triumph, and he’s got a -550 gambling line saying he should find the win again here. Play it safe and use DJ in money. It’s possible to pile this fight as well, however I think DJ is essential.
GPP play of this week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great struggle to goal this week since it probably won’t go to a choice. Holland just fought the Contender Series that a couple weeks ago and did not receive a contract. But today he is about the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers from the branch. The ITD lineup for Santos is currently -210 and the below 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. That tells me Vegas thinks this fight ends ancient and Santos is the man which should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he easily pays that price tag off at a 1st round win and I think he has a solid shot at doing exactly that. I don’t care for him as much in money game formats however because both guys have quite lower flooring, so this really is a GPP just play for me personally.
Underdog play of this week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everybody is composing Brett Johns after his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is exactly why he is so economical on DraftKings this weekend. Together with the wrestling style Johns brings to the table, he’s 100+ upside even in a decision win. Obviously, we are concerned about him getting caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid that I think he could win this battle and 10x his wages with a win. I really don’t think Johns will want to hit with Munhoz for 15-minutes so that I do believe he will be shooting takedowns. Those takedowns could get him filed, or else they may get him a triumph over the scorecards. However, that makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he is a good underdog to pick in GPPs this week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even at a cheap $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a finish to cover that price tag off with her style. She has the worst style potential for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she gets a triumph here she could wind up scoring significantly less than some losers on the card. Taylor is going to be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so in the event that you want to invest your cash on a 115 lb lady with a“punchers chance“ of winning you a GPP, then you’ll be very contrarian taking that path. However, I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I was making 150 lineups, I would still complete vanish Taylor here.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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